Treasury


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    Manufacturing expands as ‘big leap’ puts prices at post-2022 high: ISM

    “Geopolitical tensions related to the conflict in Iran are contributing to rising manufacturing supply costs,” an executive at a chemical maker said.

    By April 1, 2026
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    Consumer confidence inches up despite Iran war, rising gas price

    A Conference Board survey aligns with recent reports showing a jump in consumer expectations for short-term inflation.

    By March 31, 2026
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    Stable inflation expectations enable Fed to hold rates steady: Powell

    “Inflation expectations do appear to be well anchored beyond the short term,” Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told economics students at Harvard University.

    By March 30, 2026
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    Consumer sentiment falls 6%, hit by declining stocks, higher gas prices

    Household expectations for inflation in 12 months rose to 3.8% from 3.4% in February in the biggest one-month gain since April 2025, the University of Michigan found in a survey.

    By March 27, 2026
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    Inflation will surge to 4.2% as Iran war pushes up energy costs: OECD

    The OECD expectation for higher inflation differs from an optimistic forecast by Fed officials last week.

    By March 26, 2026
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    CFO uncertainty rises more than any other top concern during Q1

    In a sign of uncertainty, financial market volatility has flared this month, with the Cboe Volatility Index hitting the highest level since the imposition of sweeping U.S. tariffs last April.

    By March 25, 2026
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    Majid Saeedi via Getty Images
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    Business growth slows to 11-month low as Iran war triggers price spike

    “Companies are reporting a hit to demand from the additional uncertainty and cost of living impact generated by the conflict,” according to an S&P Global economist.

    By March 24, 2026
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    Majid Saeedi / Stringer via Getty Images
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    Hormuz Strait blockade would slow Q2 economy at 2.9 pp annual rate

    Factors such as higher insurance rates “could cause the oil price increase to be more substantial than our model suggests,” Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas economists said.

    By March 23, 2026
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    Economy before Iran war signaled slower future growth: Conference Board

    “This is looking like it’s going to be a protracted conflict, and oil prices are going to stay high for a longer time,” Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said.

    By March 20, 2026
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    Jobless claims fall to two-month low as lull in layoffs, hiring persists

    Unemployment will likely hold steady at 4.4% throughout this year, according to a median estimate by Federal Reserve officials released Wednesday.

    By March 19, 2026
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    Chip Somodevilla via Getty Images
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    Fed holds rates steady, flags uncertainty as oil price soars amid war

    The Fed faces a policy dilemma as the Iran war spurs a jump in energy prices, threatening to increase inflation, slow economic growth and push up unemployment.

    By Updated March 18, 2026
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    CBP is working on 4-step tariff refund process

    The agency detailed progress it’s made developing a dedicated system to process refunds for International Emergency Economic Powers Act tariffs in a court filing.

    By Phil Neuffer • March 16, 2026
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    Jobless claims fall, countering signs of dimming employment outlook

    The Federal Reserve next week will assess mixed signals from the job market and the risk that the Iran war will further push up the price of oil, spurring inflation.

    By March 12, 2026
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    Costco sued by customer seeking tariff refunds

    The proposed class action suit seeks to recoup IEEPA-tariff costs an Illinois customer alleges the retailer passed on through higher prices.

    By March 12, 2026
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    CEOs aim to boost capital spending, expect strong future sales: survey

    CEO survey results “point to the impact of last year’s tax reforms, responsible deregulation and the resilience of the U.S. economy,” Cisco CEO Chuck Robbins said.

    By March 11, 2026
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    Small business optimism dips below forecast as sales expectations slump

    Nineteen percent of small business owners ranked taxes as their biggest problem, the National Federation of Independent Business found in a survey.

    By March 10, 2026
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    Majid Saeedi via Getty Images
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    Surging oil price spurs worries of eventual stagflation during Iran war

    U.S. consumers have felt a shock at the gas pump, with the average price for a gallon of regular gas jumping 16% during the past week to $3.48.

    By March 9, 2026
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    Economy unexpectedly sheds 92,000 jobs as war spurs inflation worries

    Shrinking payrolls prompted traders in interest rate futures to predict a faster pace of monetary policy easing.

    By March 6, 2026
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    Costco to flow tariff refunds, ‘if and when’ received, back to customers

    CEO Ron Vachris said Thursday that the retailer is committed to returning any potential refunds to its customers through “lower prices and better values.”

    By March 6, 2026
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    Rising CEO, CFO optimism fuels business investment: AICPA survey

    Expectations of lower borrowing costs and pro-growth economic policies this year have sparked optimism among top financial executives, according to a survey.

    By March 5, 2026
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    Service sector grows at fastest pace since mid-2022: ISM

    “The services sector is heating up,” according to Steve Miller, chair of the services business survey committee at the Institute for Supply Management.

    By March 4, 2026
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    Small businesses flag inflation as biggest challenge: Fed survey

    The widening war in the Persian Gulf may spur inflation if it halts shipments of oil and other energy commodities for an extended period, according to economists.

    By March 3, 2026
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    Manufacturing grows for second straight month despite headwinds: ISM

    A lengthy conflict in the Middle East may sustain high energy prices and jeopardize gains in manufacturing this year.

    By March 2, 2026
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    Producer prices rise more than forecast, affirming inflation persistence

    Measures of inflation have sent mixed signals in the past several weeks, prompting some Federal Reserve officials to favor collecting more data before further easing.

    By Feb. 27, 2026
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    Most tax preparers not subject to standards, prone to costly errors: GAO

    Efforts in Congress to pass legislation holding all tax preparers to clear federal standards have repeatedly fizzled out.

    By Feb. 25, 2026